There are many things that we don´t know the answers to regarding Brexit. There are even questions that we don´t yet know. However, some facts are known. One of these is concerning investing, or not, since 20th February 2016. This was the day that David Cameron, the then Prime Minister, announced that there would be a referendum on the UK´s membership of the EU. People have been fearful due to the uncertainty as to what will happen post-Brexit.
In the last two and a half years, life has continued and investment markets have risen significantly. At the same time, inflation hasn´t disappeared just because Brexit is on the menu. Figure 1 below shows how the FTSE100 has performed since 20th February 2016 along with the UK Retail Price Index. With dividends reinvested, £100,000 would now be worth £131,000.
If we adjust for inflation, this would be more like £119,000, but still a 19% increase. If the £100,000 had been left in a bank account, with no interest which is commonplace these days, the inflation adjusted value would now be more like £91,000. Waiting for Brexit has cost the wait and see person £9,000.